Title: | MCMC Diagnostic Plots |
---|---|
Description: | Markov chain Monte Carlo diagnostic plots. The purpose of the package is to combine existing tools from the 'coda' and 'lattice' packages, and make it easy to adjust graphical details. |
Authors: | Arni Magnusson [aut, cre], Ian Stewart [aut] |
Maintainer: | Arni Magnusson <[email protected]> |
License: | GPL-3 |
Version: | 2.0.1 |
Built: | 2024-11-15 04:21:25 UTC |
Source: | https://github.com/arni-magnusson/plotmcmc |
Markov chain Monte Carlo diagnostic plots. The purpose of the package is to combine existing tools from the coda and lattice packages, and make it easy to adjust graphical details.
Diagnostic plots:
plotTrace |
trends |
plotAuto |
thinning |
plotCumu |
convergence |
plotSplom |
confounding of parameters |
Posterior plots:
plotDens |
posterior(s) |
plotQuant |
multiple posteriors on a common y axis |
Examples:
xpar |
model parameters |
xrec |
recruitment |
xbio |
biomass |
xpro |
future projected biomass |
browseVignettes()
shows a vignette with all the example plots.
The plot functions assume that MCMC results are stored either as
a plain numeric
vector (single chain) or in a
data.frame
(multiple chains). The
mcmc
class is also supported.
Arni Magnusson and Ian Stewart.
Fournier, D.A., Skaug, H.J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M.N., Nielsen, A., and Sibert, J. (2012). AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. Optimization Methods and Software, 27, 233–249. doi:10.1080/10556788.2011.597854
Magnusson, A., Punt, A.E., and Hilborn, R. (2013). Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish and Fisheries, 14, 325–342. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2012.00473.x
The coda package is a suite of diagnostic functions and plots for MCMC analysis, many of which are used in plotMCMC.
Many plotMCMC graphics are trellis
plots, rendered with
the lattice package.
The functions Args
and ll
(package gdata) can be
useful for browsing unwieldy functions and objects.
Plot Markov chain Monte Carlo autocorrelation over a range of lag values. This is a diagnostic plot for deciding whether a chain needs further thinning.
plotAuto(mcmc, thin=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab="Lag", ylab="Autocorrelation", lty=1, lwd=1, col="black", ...)
plotAuto(mcmc, thin=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab="Lag", ylab="Autocorrelation", lty=1, lwd=1, col="black", ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chain(s) as a vector, data frame or |
thin |
interval to subsample chain(s), or 1 to keep chain intact. |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
main |
main title. |
xlab |
x-axis label. |
ylab |
y-axis label. |
lty |
line type. |
lwd |
line width. |
col |
line color. |
... |
passed to |
Null, but a plot is drawn on the current graphics device.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
autocorr.plot
is the underlying plotting function,
and window.mcmc
is used to optionally thin the
chain(s).
plotTrace
, plotAuto
, plotCumu
, and
plotSplom
are diagnostic plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior
plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotAuto(xpar$R0) plotAuto(xpar$R0, thin=10) plotAuto(xpar, lag.max=50, ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE)
plotAuto(xpar$R0) plotAuto(xpar$R0, thin=10) plotAuto(xpar, lag.max=50, ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE)
Plot Markov chain Monte Carlo cumulative quantiles. This is a diagnostic plot for deciding whether the chain has converged.
plotCumu(mcmc, probs=c(0.025,0.975), div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Value", lty.median=1, lwd.median=2, col.median="black", lty.outer=2, lwd.outer=1, col.outer="black", ...)
plotCumu(mcmc, probs=c(0.025,0.975), div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Value", lty.median=1, lwd.median=2, col.median="black", lty.outer=2, lwd.outer=1, col.outer="black", ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chain(s) as a vector, data frame or |
probs |
vector of outer quantiles to draw, besides the median. |
div |
denominator to shorten values on the y axis. |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
main |
main title. |
xlab |
x-axis label. |
ylab |
y-axis label. |
lty.median |
line type of median. |
lwd.median |
line width of median. |
col.median |
color of median. |
lty.outer |
line type of outer quantiles. |
lwd.outer |
line width of outer quantiles. |
col.outer |
color of outer quantiles. |
... |
passed to |
Null, but a plot is drawn on the current graphics device.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
cumuplot
is the underlying plotting function, and
quantile
is called iteratively to calculate the
cumulative quantiles.
plotTrace
, plotAuto
, plotCumu
, and
plotSplom
are diagnostic plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior
plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotCumu(xpar$R0, main="R0") plotCumu(xpar$cSfull, main="cSfull") plotCumu(xpar, probs=c(0.25,0.75), ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE)
plotCumu(xpar$R0, main="R0") plotCumu(xpar$cSfull, main="cSfull") plotCumu(xpar, probs=c(0.25,0.75), ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE)
Plot Markov chain Monte Carlo density. This is an approximation of the posterior probability density function.
plotDens(mcmc, probs=c(0.025,0.975), points=FALSE, axes=TRUE, same.limits=FALSE, between=list(x=axes,y=axes), div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.main=1.2, cex.lab=1, cex.axis=0.8, cex.strip=0.8, col.strip="gray95", las=0, tck=0.5, tick.number=5, lty.density=1, lwd.density=3, col.density="black", lty.median=2, lwd.median=1, col.median="darkgray", lty.outer=3, lwd.outer=1, col.outer="darkgray", pch="|", cex.points=1, col.points="black", plot=TRUE, ...)
plotDens(mcmc, probs=c(0.025,0.975), points=FALSE, axes=TRUE, same.limits=FALSE, between=list(x=axes,y=axes), div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.main=1.2, cex.lab=1, cex.axis=0.8, cex.strip=0.8, col.strip="gray95", las=0, tck=0.5, tick.number=5, lty.density=1, lwd.density=3, col.density="black", lty.median=2, lwd.median=1, col.median="darkgray", lty.outer=3, lwd.outer=1, col.outer="darkgray", pch="|", cex.points=1, col.points="black", plot=TRUE, ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chain(s) as a vector, data frame or |
probs |
vector of outer quantiles to draw, besides the median. |
points |
whether individual points should be plotted along the x axis. |
axes |
whether axis values should be plotted. |
same.limits |
whether panels should have same x-axis limits. |
between |
list with |
div |
denominator to shorten values on the x axis. |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
main |
main title. |
xlab |
x-axis label. |
ylab |
y-axis label. |
cex.main |
size of main title. |
cex.lab |
size of axis labels. |
cex.axis |
size of tick labels. |
cex.strip |
size of strip labels. |
col.strip |
color of strip labels. |
las |
orientation of tick labels: 0=parallel, 1=horizontal, 2=perpendicular, 3=vertical. |
tck |
tick mark length. |
tick.number |
number of tick marks. |
lty.density |
line type of density curve. |
lwd.density |
line width of density curve. |
col.density |
color of density curve. |
lty.median |
line type of median. |
lwd.median |
line width of median. |
col.median |
color of median. |
lty.outer |
line type of outer quantiles. |
lwd.outer |
line width of outer quantiles. |
col.outer |
color of outer quantiles. |
pch |
symbol for points. |
cex.points |
size of points. |
col.points |
color of points. |
plot |
whether to draw plot. |
... |
passed to |
When plot=TRUE
, a trellis plot is drawn and a data frame is
returned, containing the data used for plotting. When
plot=FALSE
, a trellis object is returned.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
xyplot
and
panel.densityplot
are the underlying drawing
functions, and link[coda]{densplot}
is a similar non-trellis
plot.
plotTrace
, plotAuto
,
plotCumu
, and plotSplom
are diagnostic
plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotDens(xbio$"2004", points=TRUE, div=1000, main="2004\n", xlab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)", tick.number=6, strip=FALSE) plotDens(xpar, xlab="Parameter value", ylab="Posterior density\n")
plotDens(xbio$"2004", points=TRUE, div=1000, main="2004\n", xlab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)", tick.number=6, strip=FALSE) plotDens(xpar, xlab="Parameter value", ylab="Posterior density\n")
Plot quantiles of multiple Markov chain Monte Carlo chains, using bars, boxes, or lines.
plotQuant(mcmc, style="boxes", probs=c(0.025,0.975), axes=TRUE, names=NULL, ylim=NULL, yaxs="i", div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.axis=0.8, las=1, tck=-0.015, tick.number=8, lty.median=1*(style!="bars"), lwd.median=1+1*(style!="boxes"), col.median="black", lty.outer=1+2*(style=="lines"), lwd.outer=1, col.outer="black", pch=16, cex=0.8, col="black", boxfill="darkgray", boxwex=0.5, staplewex=0.5, sfrac=0.005, mai=c(0.8,1,1,0.6), mgp=list(bottom=c(2,0.4,0),left=c(3,0.6,0),top=c(0,0.6,0), right=c(0,0.6,0)), ...)
plotQuant(mcmc, style="boxes", probs=c(0.025,0.975), axes=TRUE, names=NULL, ylim=NULL, yaxs="i", div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.axis=0.8, las=1, tck=-0.015, tick.number=8, lty.median=1*(style!="bars"), lwd.median=1+1*(style!="boxes"), col.median="black", lty.outer=1+2*(style=="lines"), lwd.outer=1, col.outer="black", pch=16, cex=0.8, col="black", boxfill="darkgray", boxwex=0.5, staplewex=0.5, sfrac=0.005, mai=c(0.8,1,1,0.6), mgp=list(bottom=c(2,0.4,0),left=c(3,0.6,0),top=c(0,0.6,0), right=c(0,0.6,0)), ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chains as a data frame or |
style |
how quantiles should be drawn: |
probs |
vector of outer quantiles to draw, besides the median. |
axes |
numeric vector indicating which axis labels should be
drawn: 1=bottom, 2=left, 3=top, 4=right, or |
names |
x-axis labels. |
ylim |
y-axis limits. |
yaxs |
y-axis style: |
div |
denominator to shorten values on the y axis. |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
main |
main title. |
xlab |
x-axis label. |
ylab |
y-axis label. |
cex.axis |
size of tick labels. |
las |
orientation of tick labels: 0=parallel, 1=horizontal, 2=perpendicular, 3=vertical. |
tck |
tick mark length. |
tick.number |
number of tick marks. |
lty.median |
line type of median. |
lwd.median |
line width of median. |
col.median |
color of median. |
lty.outer |
line type of outer quantiles. |
lwd.outer |
line width of outer quantiles. |
col.outer |
color of outer quantiles. |
pch |
symbol for points. |
cex |
size of points. |
col |
color of points. |
boxfill |
color of boxes. |
boxwex |
width of boxes. |
staplewex |
width of error bar staples when |
sfrac |
width of error bar staples when |
mai |
margins around plot as a vector of four numbers (bottom, left, top, right). |
mgp |
margins around axis titles, labels, and lines as a list of four vectors (bottom, left, top, right). |
... |
passed to |
List containing:
x |
midpoint coordinates on the x axis. |
y |
quantile coordinates on the y axis. |
With style="boxes"
, the quartiles are shown as boxes.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
bxp
, plotCI
,
and matplot
are the underlying drawing functions.
plotTrace
, plotAuto
,
plotCumu
, and plotSplom
are diagnostic
plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotQuant(xrec, names=substring(names(xrec),3), div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Recruitment (million one-year-olds)") plotQuant(xbio, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="bars", div=1000, sfrac=0, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="lines", div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xpro, axes=1:2, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)")
plotQuant(xrec, names=substring(names(xrec),3), div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Recruitment (million one-year-olds)") plotQuant(xbio, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="bars", div=1000, sfrac=0, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="lines", div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xpro, axes=1:2, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)")
Plot scatterplots of multiple Markov chain Monte Carlo chains. This is a diagnostic plot for deciding whether parameters are confounded. When parameter estimates are highly dependent on each other, it may undermine conclusions based on MCMC results of that model.
plotSplom(mcmc, axes=FALSE, between=0, div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, ...)
plotSplom(mcmc, axes=FALSE, between=0, div=1, log=FALSE, base=10, ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chains as a data frame or |
axes |
whether axis values should be plotted. |
between |
space between panels. |
div |
denominator to shorten values on the y axis. |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
... |
passed to |
Null, but a plot is drawn on the current graphics device.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
pairs
is the underlying drawing function, and
splom
is a similar trellis plot.
plotTrace
, plotAuto
,
plotCumu
, and plotSplom
are diagnostic plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior
plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotSplom(xpar, pch=".") plotSplom(xpro, axes=TRUE, between=1, div=1000, main="Future biomass", cex.labels=1.5, pch=".", cex=3)
plotSplom(xpar, pch=".") plotSplom(xpro, axes=TRUE, between=1, div=1000, main="Future biomass", cex.labels=1.5, pch=".", cex=3)
Plot Markov chain Monte Carlo traces. This is a diagnostic plot for deciding whether a chain shows unwanted trends.
plotTrace(mcmc, axes=FALSE, same.limits=FALSE, between=list(x=axes,y=axes), div=1, span=1/4, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.main=1.2, cex.lab=1, cex.axis=0.8, cex.strip=0.8, col.strip="gray95", las=0, tck=0.5, tick.number=5, lty.trace=1, lwd.trace=1, col.trace="gray", lty.median=1, lwd.median=1, col.median="black", lty.loess=2, lwd.loess=1, col.loess="black", plot=TRUE, ...)
plotTrace(mcmc, axes=FALSE, same.limits=FALSE, between=list(x=axes,y=axes), div=1, span=1/4, log=FALSE, base=10, main=NULL, xlab=NULL, ylab=NULL, cex.main=1.2, cex.lab=1, cex.axis=0.8, cex.strip=0.8, col.strip="gray95", las=0, tck=0.5, tick.number=5, lty.trace=1, lwd.trace=1, col.trace="gray", lty.median=1, lwd.median=1, col.median="black", lty.loess=2, lwd.loess=1, col.loess="black", plot=TRUE, ...)
mcmc |
MCMC chain(s) as a vector, data frame or |
axes |
whether axis values should be plotted. |
same.limits |
whether panels should have same x-axis limits. |
between |
list with |
div |
denominator to shorten values on the y axis. |
span |
smoothness parameter, passed to |
log |
whether values should be log-transformed. |
base |
logarithm base. |
main |
main title. |
xlab |
x-axis title. |
ylab |
y-axis title. |
cex.main |
size of main title. |
cex.lab |
size of axis labels. |
cex.axis |
size of tick labels. |
cex.strip |
size of strip labels. |
col.strip |
color of strip labels. |
las |
orientation of tick labels: 0=parallel, 1=horizontal, 2=perpendicular, 3=vertical. |
tck |
tick mark length. |
tick.number |
number of tick marks. |
lty.trace |
line type of trace. |
lwd.trace |
line width of trace. |
col.trace |
color of trace. |
lty.median |
line type of median. |
lwd.median |
line width of median. |
col.median |
color of median. |
lty.loess |
line type of loess. |
lwd.loess |
line width of loess. |
col.loess |
color of loess. |
plot |
whether to draw plot. |
... |
passed to |
When plot=TRUE
, a trellis plot is drawn and a data frame is
returned, containing the data used for plotting. When
plot=FALSE
, a trellis object is returned.
The Args
function from the gdata package is recommended
for reviewing the arguments, instead of args
.
xyplot
and panel.loess
are the underlying drawing functions, and
traceplot
is a similar non-trellis plot.
plotTrace
, plotAuto
, plotCumu
, and
plotSplom
are diagnostic plots.
plotDens
and plotQuant
are posterior
plots.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotTrace(xpar, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Parameter value", layout=c(2,4)) plotTrace(xpar$R0, axes=TRUE, div=1000)
plotTrace(xpar, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Parameter value", layout=c(2,4)) plotTrace(xpar$R0, axes=TRUE, div=1000)
Markov chain Monte Carlo results from stock assessment of cod (Gadus morhua) in Icelandic waters, showing estimated biomass by year in tonnes.
xbio
xbio
Data frame containing 1000 rows and 34 columns (years 1971 to 2004).
Each column contains the results of 1 million MCMC iterations, after thinning to every 1000th iteration.
The MCMC analysis started at the best fit, so no burn-in period was discarded.
Biomass is the total weight of all individuals in a population, in this case ages 4 and older.
This data frame is a subset of the xmcmc
list from the
scape package, which contains further documentation about the
data and model. Specifically, xbio <- xmcmc$B
.
The MCMC analysis was run using the AD Model Builder software (https://www.admb-project.org).
Fournier, D.A., Skaug, H.J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M.N., Nielsen, A., and Sibert, J. (2012). AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. Optimization Methods and Software, 27, 233–249. doi:10.1080/10556788.2011.597854
Magnusson, A., Punt, A.E., and Hilborn, R. (2013). Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish and Fisheries, 14, 325–342. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2012.00473.x
xpar
(parameters), xrec
(recruitment),
xbio
(biomass), and xpro
(projected future
biomass) are MCMC data frames to explore.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotDens(xbio$"2004", points=TRUE, div=1000, main="2004\n", xlab="Biomass age 4+ (1000 t)", tick.number=6, strip=FALSE) plotQuant(xbio, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="bars", div=1000, sfrac=0, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="lines", div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)")
plotDens(xbio$"2004", points=TRUE, div=1000, main="2004\n", xlab="Biomass age 4+ (1000 t)", tick.number=6, strip=FALSE) plotQuant(xbio, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="bars", div=1000, sfrac=0, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotQuant(xbio, style="lines", div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)")
Markov chain Monte Carlo results from stock assessment of cod (Gadus morhua) in Icelandic waters, showing estimated model parameters.
xpar
xpar
Data frame containing 1000 rows and 8 columns:
R0 |
average virgin recruitment |
Rinit |
initial recruitment scaler |
uinit |
initial harvest rate |
cSleft
|
left-side slope of commercial selectivity curve |
cSfull
|
age at full commercial selectivity |
sSleft
|
left-side slope of survey selectivity curve |
sSfull
|
age at full survey selectivity |
logq |
log-transformed survey catchability |
Each column contains the results of 1 million MCMC iterations, after thinning to every 1000th iteration.
The MCMC analysis started at the best fit, so no burn-in period was discarded.
This data frame is a subset of the xmcmc
list from the
scape package, which contains further documentation about the
data and model. Specifically, xpar <- xmcmc$P
.
The MCMC analysis was run using the AD Model Builder software (https://www.admb-project.org).
Fournier, D.A., Skaug, H.J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M.N., Nielsen, A., and Sibert, J. (2012). AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. Optimization Methods and Software, 27, 233–249. doi:10.1080/10556788.2011.597854
Magnusson, A., Punt, A.E., and Hilborn, R. (2013). Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish and Fisheries, 14, 325–342. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2012.00473.x
xpar
(parameters), xrec
(recruitment),
xbio
(biomass), and xpro
(projected future
biomass) are MCMC data frames to explore.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotTrace(xpar, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Parameter value", layout=c(2,4)) plotTrace(xpar$R0, axes=TRUE, div=1000) plotAuto(xpar$R0) plotAuto(xpar$R0, thin=10) plotAuto(xpar, lag.max=50, ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE) plotCumu(xpar$R0, main="R0") plotCumu(xpar$cSfull, main="cSfull") plotCumu(xpar, probs=c(0.25,0.75), ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE) plotSplom(xpar, pch=".") plotDens(xpar, xlab="Parameter value", ylab="Posterior density\n")
plotTrace(xpar, xlab="Iterations", ylab="Parameter value", layout=c(2,4)) plotTrace(xpar$R0, axes=TRUE, div=1000) plotAuto(xpar$R0) plotAuto(xpar$R0, thin=10) plotAuto(xpar, lag.max=50, ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE) plotCumu(xpar$R0, main="R0") plotCumu(xpar$cSfull, main="cSfull") plotCumu(xpar, probs=c(0.25,0.75), ann=FALSE, axes=FALSE) plotSplom(xpar, pch=".") plotDens(xpar, xlab="Parameter value", ylab="Posterior density\n")
Markov chain Monte Carlo results from stock assessment of cod (Gadus morhua) in Icelandic waters, showing future projected biomass in tonnes.
xpro
xpro
Data frame containing 1000 rows and 4 columns (years 2004 to 2007).
Each column contains the results of 1 million MCMC iterations, after thinning to every 1000th iteration.
The MCMC analysis started at the best fit, so no burn-in period was discarded.
The projections are based on a fixed harvest rate, where 25% of the biomass (ages 4 and older) is caught every year.
This data frame is a subset of the xproj
list from the
scape package, which contains further documentation about the
data and model. Specifically, xpro <- xproj$"0.25"
.
The MCMC analysis was run using the AD Model Builder software (https://www.admb-project.org).
Fournier, D.A., Skaug, H.J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M.N., Nielsen, A., and Sibert, J. (2012). AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. Optimization Methods and Software, 27, 233–249. doi:10.1080/10556788.2011.597854
Magnusson, A., Punt, A.E., and Hilborn, R. (2013). Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish and Fisheries, 14, 325–342. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2012.00473.x
xpar
(parameters), xrec
(recruitment),
xbio
(biomass), and xpro
(projected future
biomass) are MCMC data frames to explore.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotQuant(xpro, axes=1:2, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotSplom(xpro, axes=TRUE, between=1, div=1000, main="Future biomass", cex.labels=1.5, pch=".", cex=3)
plotQuant(xpro, axes=1:2, div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Biomass age 4+ (kt)") plotSplom(xpro, axes=TRUE, between=1, div=1000, main="Future biomass", cex.labels=1.5, pch=".", cex=3)
Markov chain Monte Carlo results from stock assessment of cod (Gadus morhua) in Icelandic waters, showing estimated recruitment by year.
xrec
xrec
Data frame containing 1000 rows and 33 columns (years 1970 to 2002).
Each column contains the results of 1 million MCMC iterations, after thinning to every 1000th iteration.
The MCMC analysis started at the best fit, so no burn-in period was discarded.
Recruitment is the size of a cohort (year class), in this case thousands of one-year-olds.
For example, xrec$"1980"
is the estimated number of
one-year-olds in 1981, the cohort that hatched in 1980.
This data frame is a subset of the xmcmc
list from the
scape package, which contains further documentation about the
data and model. Specifically, xrec <- xmcmc$R
.
The MCMC analysis was run using the AD Model Builder software (https://www.admb-project.org).
Fournier, D.A., Skaug, H.J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M.N., Nielsen, A., and Sibert, J. (2012). AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. Optimization Methods and Software, 27, 233–249. doi:10.1080/10556788.2011.597854
Magnusson, A., Punt, A.E., and Hilborn, R. (2013). Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish and Fisheries, 14, 325–342. doi:10.1111/j.1467-2979.2012.00473.x
xpar
(parameters), xrec
(recruitment),
xbio
(biomass), and xpro
(projected future
biomass) are MCMC data frames to explore.
plotMCMC-package
gives an overview of the package.
plotQuant(xrec, names=substring(names(xrec),3), div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Recruitment (million one-year-olds)")
plotQuant(xrec, names=substring(names(xrec),3), div=1000, xlab="Year", ylab="Recruitment (million one-year-olds)")